Illustration; Source: NPD

Norway: December oil output rises above expectations

Norway ended 2020 on a high note with oil production in December 2020 above forecasts made by the Norwegian Petroleum Directorate (NPD).

Illustration; Source: NPD

Preliminary production figures for December 2020 show an average daily production of 2,135,000 barrels of oil, NGL, and condensate.

According to the NPD, average daily liquids production in December was: 1,811,000 barrels of oil, 310,000 barrels of NGL, and 13,000 barrels of condensate.

It is worth reminding that the Norwegian Government decided to implement a cut in Norwegian oil production on 29 April 2020.

The production figures for oil in December include this cut of 134,000 barrels per day in the second half of 2020.

Also, the NPD’s oil production forecasts have been updated in line the Government’s proposed Revised National Budget for 2020.

This was presented on 12 May 2020. The update takes the authorities’ oil production regulation into account, as well as the delayed start-up of fields under development and oil production in the first quarter.

NPD also stated that oil production in December was five per cent higher than what was forecasted, and 1.3 per cent below the forecast this year.

Source: NPD
Source: NPD

The total petroleum production in 2020 is about 228.8 million Sm3 oil equivalents (MSm3 o.e.), broken down as follows: about 98.4 MSm3 o.e. of oil, about 18.1 MSm3 o.e. of NGL and condensate, and about 112.3 MSm3 o.e. of gas for sale. The total volume is 12.9 MSm3 o.e. higher than in 2019.

It is worth noting that Norway had a strong 2020 despite the ongoing coronavirus pandemic. Activity on the Norwegian continental shelf last year remained at a high level with high production and significant investments in developments and projects on the fields.

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NPD said that 14 discoveries were made, and 4 new fields – Tor, Skogul, Ærfugl, and Dvalin – came on stream in the past year. During 2020, 31 exploration wells were spudded. Around 50 exploration wells were planned last year – some of which were postponed, primarily due to the pandemic. In 2021, the NPD expects around 40 exploration wells to be drilled.

Oil production was also high. The last year had higher production than 2019, in line with expectations, with the Johan Sverdrup field being the most important reason for this.

Production in 2020 was somewhat lower than the NPD expected due to the production regulation introduced last summer, project postponements, as well as the shutdown on Snøhvit and the market situation for gas.

The NPD does expect oil production to rise over the next few years from the current 1.7 million barrels per day to more than 2 million barrels per day in 2025.